Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000507 0.000550 0.000595 0.000644 0.000698 0.000754 0.000818
2026-02-01 0.000437 0.000495 0.000558 0.000632 0.000716 0.000807 0.000915
2026-02-08 0.000387 0.000455 0.000531 0.000623 0.000731 0.000854 0.001004
2026-02-15 0.000349 0.000423 0.000509 0.000616 0.000745 0.000896 0.001087
2026-02-22 0.000318 0.000397 0.000490 0.000609 0.000757 0.000934 0.001165
2026-03-01 0.000293 0.000375 0.000473 0.000603 0.000767 0.000970 0.001239
2026-03-08 0.000270 0.000352 0.000455 0.000592 0.000770 0.000994 0.001298
2026-03-15 0.000250 0.000333 0.000439 0.000583 0.000774 0.001019 0.001359
2026-03-22 0.000231 0.000313 0.000420 0.000568 0.000768 0.001031 0.001401
2026-03-29 0.000215 0.000298 0.000406 0.000559 0.000770 0.001052 0.001455
2026-04-05 0.000204 0.000287 0.000397 0.000556 0.000779 0.001082 0.001523
2026-04-12 0.000195 0.000278 0.000392 0.000557 0.000793 0.001118 0.001600
2026-04-19 0.000184 0.000267 0.000383 0.000555 0.000805 0.001154 0.001682
2026-04-26 0.000171 0.000254 0.000370 0.000546 0.000805 0.001174 0.001741
2026-05-03 0.000161 0.000242 0.000359 0.000538 0.000807 0.001197 0.001806
2026-05-10 0.000151 0.000232 0.000349 0.000532 0.000811 0.001221 0.001874
2026-05-17 0.000143 0.000222 0.000340 0.000526 0.000815 0.001246 0.001944
2026-05-24 0.000135 0.000214 0.000331 0.000521 0.000819 0.001271 0.002014
2026-05-31 0.000127 0.000204 0.000320 0.000511 0.000816 0.001285 0.002066
2026-06-07 0.000120 0.000195 0.000311 0.000503 0.000815 0.001302 0.002124
2026-06-14 0.000112 0.000185 0.000299 0.000491 0.000805 0.001304 0.002157
2026-06-21 0.000106 0.000177 0.000291 0.000483 0.000804 0.001319 0.002212
2026-06-28 0.000101 0.000172 0.000285 0.000481 0.000810 0.001346 0.002289